JOHN CHUCKMAN COMMENT: CITING POLLS TO SAY HILLARY IS GOING TO WIN – SOME IMPORTANT OBSERVATIONS ON THE POLLS AND THEIR PROBLEMS – MORE ART THAN SCIENCE AND OFTEN ABUSED   Leave a comment

John Chuckman

COMMENT POSTED TO AN ARTICLE BY FELIKS GARCIA IN THE INDEPENDENT

 

Unless you believe evil always prevails, bloody Hillary is going to lose and lose big.

Her life is filled with more ugly tales than Madame Tussaud’s Chamber of Horrors, and an awful lot of it is coming out despite her supporters’ desperate efforts to suppress it.

She has nothing to offer besides war on behalf of the same group of thugs who’ve driven the US to mass murder for the last decade and a half.

Trump is not a prince, but he does have some remarkable qualities as the personal success he’s enjoyed for decades testifies.

It will take a person of this nature to deal with the accumulated horrors of the Pentagon and 17 security agencies and a vast horde of special interests.

Even a modest gain in peace and reason in American foreign policy is a wonderful goal, whatever else may come out of his mouth occasionally.

Hillary offers only war, only continued killing on a vast scale, and the most corrupt personal life ever to seek great power in America.

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Response to another reader’s comment about the strange nature of American politics:

One, because they are never told the truth by the mainline press which is allied to the interests of the powers that be.

Two, because the actual political process is seriously bent everywhere. How can it be called democratic to have a 35% PM like David Cameron? It’s not. Indeed, President Assad of Syria has far greater support.

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Response to another reader on polls:

You have a point, but polls do mean something. The trouble, as few seem to understand, polling is as much an art as a science.

Getting a representative sample is not easy, and it likely has become even harder with technology, as with landline phones disappearing.

And asking the right question with the right words is definitely an art. Each possible choice of wording carries a new set of connotations and will elicit a different set of responses.

It is tricky stuff, and Cameron was depending upon a pollster already demonstrated as less than astute, when he foolishly started his evening at the close of polls with toasts and celebrations in 10 Downing.

At least, a very foolish and unpleasant man has lost power, and that is a blessing.

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One further note on polls.

Various newspapers and broadcasters actually go out of their way to commission “favorable” polls, not caring in the least whether they attempt to be scrupulously accurate.

This is quite simply a propaganda tool, and I’ve noted its being used in British papers at times. It is heavily used in the US where the press makes little pretense about objectivity or fairness.

We have a good example at work right now. A former, well-regarded Secret Service agent has written a book about how nasty things were in the White House under the Clintons.

It is already a best seller, but the major American networks have already refused to have the author on for an interview, as is the common practice with best-selling books. This is the purest prejudice and Clinton influence-peddling.

But we know from a Harvard School of Government study that the entire American press simply went silent about Bernie Sanders at key times. Without them, your voice has little reach.

This was also the case on the eve of the California primary. AP, in cahoots with Clinton insiders, put out a story about Hillary having reached the needed number of delegates. This story was then picked up by media all over to help influence the California vote, which by the way was so twisted with manipulations like provisional ballots that perhaps 2 million voters never got counted.

Posted July 1, 2016 by JOHN CHUCKMAN in Uncategorized

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